Auteur : Benjamin Hodia Kibungua

Co-Auteur : Bernard Nkanka Ndayea, Cush Ngonzo Luwesi , Raphaël Muamba Tshimanga , Esam Badr

Revue : International Journal of Renewable Energy Development

Lien : https://ijred.cbiore.id/index.php/ijred/article/view/6

Résumé : Energy planning is a privileged scientific tool, enabling quantified analyses of the energy future of countries or regions of the world. These analyses provide a scientific basis for energy policies and implementation strategies. The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), despite its considerable hydroelectric potential, makes little use of its resources due to various challenges, leaving a large part of the population without access to electricity, which hampers community and economic development. This article analyzes the opportunities for developing the hydroelectric potential of the DRC up to 00. Using OSeMOSYS (Open-Source Energy Modelling System), prospective modelling was carried out to assess the technical, economic and environmental impacts of an ambitious energy scenario centered on hydropower (Scenario HYDRO). The study develops an energy modelling approach for the DRC, considering demand, supply and energy policies, based on reliable data and aimed at optimizing the use of resources, in particular hydroelectric potential. The results indicate a potential installed capacity of  GW by 00, dominated by hydropower (8%). This scenario meets the growing needs of national electrification, with 70% of the energy designated for the residential sector. The study highlights a significant reduction in CO emissions, estimated at ,9 Mt cumulative by 00. However, achieving these targets will require around USD 00 billion in investment. The results provide a sound basis for the development of energy policies in the DRC that will promote universal access to sustainable energy, reduce carbon emissions, reduce pressure on forests and ensure energy security. The results of this study recommend massive investment in hydropower, standardization of the electricity sector and improved data collection to achieve universal electrification and significantly reduce CO emissions in the DRC by 00.

Keywords : Energy modelling, OSeMOSYS, hydropower, Democratic Republic of Congo, energy transition, CO emissions reduction